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Dell may sell manufacturing business at its own peril

Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) wants out of the business of owning factories that make PCs. According to The Wall Street Journal, "Dell has approached contract computer manufacturers with offers to sell the plants." Owning the manufacturing facilities cuts Dell's margins.

Analysts believe that in the current environment, where laptops have taken the lead in PC market share, owning facilities that pump out massive numbers of desktops is no longer practical.

Dell could be making a huge mistake in the name of short-term profitability. The company is particularly good at delivering "custom-made" computers quickly. Dell customers can configure the PCs with a large number of special features.

More importantly, Dell will lose some level of quality control if its manufacturing is owned by outside interests. Dell cannot afford to fall behind Hewlett-Packard (NASDAQ: HPQ) and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) in terms of the consumer's perception of product quality. Owning factories may hurt profits a bit, but Dell's reputation as a first class provider of PCs is priceless.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Ads Gone Bad: Snickers tries to make people snigger at gays

This post is part of our Ads Gone Bad series. Share your thoughts and memories of this ad in the comments, and be sure to check out our other posts on marketing gone wrong.

Mars Inc., has made not just one, but two ad campaigns for its popular Snickers bar seem to sneer at gays. Mars, one of the biggest privately held, family-owned companies, makes many of the world's most popular candies: Snickers, M&Ms, Twix, Starburst (along with Uncle Ben's Rice and pet food like Whiskas), but both of the ads gay rights groups found offensive were for the Snickers bar.

The first gay-themed Snickers ad made a big splash in Super Bowl XLI in 2007. Two mechanics get so wrapped up in eating the opposite ends of Snickers bar that their lips touch, prompting them to decide to "do something manly" lest they accidentally catch gayness -- so they pull their chest hair out.

Continue reading Ads Gone Bad: Snickers tries to make people snigger at gays

Sony issues recall for popular laptop

Sony Corp. (NYSE: SNE) has issued a recall for some of it's popular Vaio laptops today due to an overheating problem that some consumers have encountered with their machines.

So far, the company has received 209 reports of the popular machines overheating on users, and in 7 instances, users received minor burns as a result of the overheating laptops.

The computers in question involve 19 models in the Vaio TZ series that were produced between the months of May 2007 and July 2008. According to Sony, the problem is a result of some improper wire connections in the hinge between the laptop body and the the monitor that appears to be wearing out and causing short circuits in the machines.

Of the seven injuries that have been reported, five were reported in Japan, and one in both the United States as well as Italy.

The recalled machines are located all over the globe, with around 373,000 of the computers being sold in 48 different countries. The remaining 67,000 recalled machines were sold in Japan.

If you think that your computer may be a part of this recall, you should definitely contact Sony to find out.

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last four years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.

Why do gas prices stay high? It's the consumer's fault!

We can all sense it even without looking at the numbers -- gas prices rose very quickly when oil prices had their huge run-up, but since oil prices started falling, gas prices didn't match the declines. Indeed, since oil reached its record price of $147.27 a barrel on July 11, it dropped over 26% to around $107-108 today. Gas prices peaked at $4.14 a gallon on July 17, but have fallen only 10% since. Comparing weekly data from the EIA shows a similar, if less extreme, picture. Why is that?

Economists differ in their views of why this asymmetric pricing happens. In the case of gasoline, it seems to be the "fault" of the consumer. Since information about oil prices is readily available, consumers know what to expect even before they go to the pump, therefore behaving differently during times of rising and falling oil prices. This, in turn, limits or allows for larger gasoline price changes.

During times of rising oil prices, consumers are very price conscious and shop for deals. Sure, since gas stations take delivery often, they'd be eager to pass on the price increases to consumers immediately. But as most consumers comaprison shop, gasoline retailers are limited by the amount they can hike up prices.

Continue reading Why do gas prices stay high? It's the consumer's fault!

If you like rising incomes, higher stock prices and economic growth, vote Democratic

The New York Times reports that a new book -- Unequal Democracy by Larry M. Bartels, a Princeton economics professor -- contains statistics that demonstrate an important historical pattern -- the U.S. economy does better under Democratic presidents than under Republican ones. That is, the last eight years -- in which the median income shrank while consumer prices rose -- is just an extreme example of the economic impact of Republican presidencies.

And based on statistics from Forbes, the stock market also does better under Democratic presidents. Forbes "found that the S&P 500 has averaged a total return of 14.1% per year under Democratic presidents since April 1945, and 11.8% under Republicans. The best total returns--17.4% per year--were under Bill Clinton, whose presidency ranked first in economic results."

How much better does the economy do under Democrats? The Times reports that between 1948 and 2007, Gross National Product (GNP) growth per capita was 1.14 percentage points higher under Democrats (2.78%) compared to 1.64% for Republicans. The Times reports "that 1.14-point difference, if maintained for eight years, would yield 9.33 percent more income per person, which is a lot more than almost anyone can expect from a tax cut."

Continue reading If you like rising incomes, higher stock prices and economic growth, vote Democratic

Gustav could cost you $5 a gallon at the pumps

Beyond the torment it has already caused in the Carribbean and the stress it places on those who are evacuating the Gulf Coast, hurricane Gustav will lead to higher prices at the pumps. That's because the majority of the Gulf of Mexico's oil production is shut down in anticipation of Gustav's force.

Exactly how much production is being shut down? CNNMoney reports that "energy producers have shut in approximately 77% of oil output and 37% of natural gas production in the Gulf of Mexico." This is affecting three producers particularly hard -- Royal Dutch Shell PLC (NYSE: RDS.A), BP PLC (NYSE: BP) and Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX).

And the production shut-down is significant -- "nearly 1 million barrels of daily oil production is now shut down. The last time this happened was in November 2005, after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita. In addition, 2.75 billion cubic feet of daily natural gas production is now shut down" according to CNNMoney.

Continue reading Gustav could cost you $5 a gallon at the pumps

Bank Failure Count: 2008's 10th bank failure

In what I fear may become a regular feature here, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) arranged for the takeover of the 10th failed bank of 2008 on Friday. As I posted, the FDIC likes to close banks on Friday after hours so they can reopen as branches of the acquiring bank on the following Monday morning. According to the Associated Press, the bank in question is real estate lender, Integrity Bank of Alpharetta, GA.

How did Integrity lose its integrity? It was unusual in that it combined real estate and religion. AP reports that Integrity Bank started lending in November 2000 -- "specializ[ing] in real estate lending in the Atlanta area with a self-described 'faith-based culture.'" Integrity Bank "grew into a billion-dollar publicly traded company - but when the real estate market started faltering, the bank struggled."

AP interviewed an FDIC spokesman who said "its aggressive pursuit of construction loans, coupled with falling real estate values and 'inadequate risk management'" caused its failure. According to AP, its "construction loans were 76 percent of the bank's total loan portfolio" and it lost $33.6 million in the second quarter. Sometimes religion and finance don't mix.

Continue reading Bank Failure Count: 2008's 10th bank failure

Fall album releases raise new questions for the music industry

The Associated Press reported on five upcoming albums this fall in an article posted yesterday, raising new questions about the music industry and the success these albums may enjoy. The big news are the number of comeback albums being released in the next few months, notably from Metallica and Australian band AC/DC. Both albums come after lapses of five years or more from the artists, a time period that has seen major upheaval and change in the industry, and the AP cites reports that both return the bands to their roots.

Nevertheless if Metallica and AC/DC are returning with new material, the music industry is simple not a safe place for anyone involved with it: artists, managers, investors, and vital customers. In fact, both Warner Music Group Corp. (NYSE: WMG) and Sony Corporation (NYSE: SNE), which owns Sony Music Entertainment Inc., have seen declining prices throughout the summer. None of this is any different from the declines the industry has been seeing in recent years, but digital sales and excitement over new albums in the summer might have pointed in the opposite direction.

The AP's projections for other top albums this fall include material from rapper T.I., still reeling from a weapons charge and punishment, and High School Musical 3 from Disney (NYSE: DIS). It is just too hard to suggest if these projections are reliable in an industry currently in flux and continuously declining. However, they are sure to be successful, in particular the next installment of High School Musical, but they will probably all be paled by an unexpected success. If the summer excitement could continue from the festivals and tours into the fall, then these albums could do well, but whether that will improve the industry or improve investors is just too risky to speculate.

GM's Volt: More ice-breaker than game-changer in electric car tech

Will the Volt provide the jolt that turns General Motors' (NYSE: GM) around?

In the interpretation of one critic, Chevrolet's Volt plug-in hybrid may end up being not so much a game-changer as an ice-breaker.

Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer, whose ownership of high-performance sports cars through the years has been exceeded only by, perhaps, Mario Andretti, says he doesn't expect the Volt, Chevrolet's extended-range electric vehicle, to overwhelm the public or generate rave reviews from critics, but those two conclusions still won't blot out Volt's positives.

"The key point, and one many have overlooked, is not the Volt, but the infrastructure behind the Volt," Bauer said. "The Volt as a model will most likely underwhelm, but the processes GM has put in place will pay dividends when advances occur." Bauer added that he does not own shares in or have a rating on any auto manufacturer.

Amped-up R & D

GM, Bauer says, has now committed a large amount of resources to electric and hybrid technologies, whereas previous commitments were modest. Moreover, "it would take an act of idiocy or $10 a barrel oil" for GM to dismantle its current research platform. Bauer expects neither, and as a result, he expects the 2nd, 3rd and 4th generations of Volt and its companions to achieve both battery power storage and power delivery advances not possible during GM's previous electric vehicle projects.

Continue reading GM's Volt: More ice-breaker than game-changer in electric car tech

Existing home sales jump, but are we out of the woods just yet?

In the current housing market, it has been hard to find any sort of silver lining, but we do see a little positive news today, as existing home sales in July jumped more than expected, mainly due to lower home prices.

During July, sales of existing homes rose by 3.1%. This was well above the 1.6% that Wall Street was hoping to see, but analysts caution against assuming that this is a sign that the market has finally bottomed out. Despite beating Wall Street estimates, we still have to consider the fact that home sales were over 13% lower than the same period a year ago.

While we can view the July sales figures as promising, we must also take a minute to look at home inventories, and here the picture is not so rosy. Here we see that the number of unsold single family homes is running at all time highs. Currently the market is trying to deal with a total of 4.67 million unsold homes. This is the highest level that we have seen since 1968 when the National Association of Realtors started monitoring the data.

Continue reading Existing home sales jump, but are we out of the woods just yet?

For U.S. travelers, more packed planes, but more free flight vouchers

There's a downside and an upside to the new air travel reality in the United States.

The downside: look for more, packed flights as airlines reduce fleets to cut costs by eliminating unprofitable flights, and with it the (remaining) empty seats on planes, The New York Times reported.

The upside: airlines are required to offer a greater payout, if you're bumped from a flight.

Airlines' load factor seen increasing


Stock analyst and frequent flier C. Leonard Bauer told BloggingStocks U.S. airlines' load factor - - the percent of seats sold per flight - - is likely to increase from its current 79% sector average. "Basic math. Considerably fewer planes and roughly the same amount of travelers means more flights close to capacity."

And overcapacity. Bauer said he expects bumps - - people with a boarding pass who can't fly because the airline overbooked the plane - - to increase during the next six months. However, bumps may trend lower in 2H 2009, if passenger traffic slows on the heels of the U.S. economic slowdown, he said.

In any event, if you're bumped, your air travel-denominated compensation will be better than it was three years ago, Bauer said, due to federally-required higher payouts. [Bauer added that he does not own shares in or have a rating on any airline or airplane manufacturer. However, Bauer does have frequent flier miles/points in American Airlines (NYSE: AMR).]

Continue reading For U.S. travelers, more packed planes, but more free flight vouchers

Apple iPhone not right for all markets

The Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) iPhone is supposed to be the hottest handset on the planet, but in some parts of the world it has very little appeal at all.

The market in India is teaching Apple a lesson or two. The first is that price is an issue. No matter how much people love the product, there is a point at which the cost is simply too high.

According to MarketWatch reports from India, "The princely sum of 31,000 rupees ($720) for the 8-gigabyte iPhone and 36,100 rupees ($840) for the 16 GB version was too high for even such a cool gizmo." If Apple is going to make any progress in one of the world's largest markets, it is going to have to solve that problem. Otherwise, more reasonably priced products from other phone makers such as market leader Nokia (NYSE: NOK) are going to continue to rule the roost.

The other issue in India is that it has very little 3G infrastructure. That makes the new version of the iPhone less appealing. Apple can do very little to solve this problem, but it does say that there are some limits that even the most popular product can't overcome.

Apple is about to launch the iPhone is Russia and sales are expected to be good there, but the company's goal of getting a quick start in every important market may be thwarted.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

The myth that falling gas prices matter

Gas prices dropped another 15 cents over the last two weeks. That news sounds good, but it really isn't. Gas is still much too high and is staggering compared with a year or two ago. According to the AP, a gallon of regular is down to $3.70, and premium is $3.95.

While the improvement would seem to be good for the economy, gas prices are still just too high. Filling the tank on an SUV or pickup is probably a $70 ticket. Even a small, fuel-efficient car can't stop at a service station for much less than $30.

The media reports on gas prices are misleading. They are about the modest drop in costs but fail to look at the numbers relative to the period when a gallon was $2. In some parts of the U.S., prices were that low in early 2007.

It is unlikely that falling gas prices will do much to improve consumer economics until the register reads under $3. Until then, the consumer will stay pinched and won't be over at the mall buying new clothes.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Why August car sales matter

August is expected to be another troubling month for domestic cars sales. U.S.-based car companies have seen sales off over 20% in some recent months. If August does not show some minor improvement, the rest of the year could be more of a disaster than expected.

General Motors (NYSE: GM) has offered amazingly attractive incentives on its vehicle line including "employee pricing," cash back and low interest rates. With all of those in play, the largest U.S. car company should have a reasonably good month. Or, that is what the market is hoping for.

The Wall Street Journal writes that J.D. Power & Associates expect August sales to be a modest improvement from July. If that does not happen, it will be a catastrophe. It would say that even aggressive pricing cannot bring wary consumers back into the car market; that falling consumer income cannot overcome the allure of even the best deals.

The potential car customer may be so broke that he can't even afford to take a car for free. The gas will cost too much.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Google presses its mobile advantage

Google's (NASDAQ: GOOG) success over the next decade depends, to some extent, on moving its search products from PCs to the new generation of mobile devices. It will go a long way toward getting a head start on that in a deal with Verizon (NYSE: VZ).

According to The Wall Street Journal, "The deal under discussion, which would make Google the default search provider on Verizon devices and give it a share of ad revenue, is aimed at dramatically simplifying what is now a confusing set of search options for cellphone users."

The news is not good for Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) or Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO). After losing the PC search battle, their next, and perhaps last, option to pick up substantial business is on mobile handsets. Because Verizon has about 70 million subscribers in the U.S., a large opportunity to gain share from Google is gone.

Deals with cellular carriers are overrated. Even if the default search engine is on a handset, users can still access any other search company through the phone's web browser.

If PC habits carry over to the wireless world, Google has already won the new war. Few people are likely to change search preferences from device to device.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-99.8211,088.41
NASDAQ-14.612,244.43
S&P 500-12.591,224.24

Last updated: September 05, 2008: 10:21 AM

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